Courtesy: New York Times
Three epoch-making events in 2016 are continuing to have global repercussions. They were: Brexit, China’s rubbishing of the July verdict of the Permanent Court of Arbitration after it rejected its claims on disputed islands in the South China Sea, and Trump’s election. This article, the prologue to a book-in-progress, The Hinge Year – Geopolitical Dislocations and Dispersals, outlines how these events intersect with transformed geoeconomic realities
Courtesy: G20
The G20’s response to the economic crisis was effective, the expansion of its scope was logical. This week’s Summit in Argentina is an opportunity to build consensus and deliver on concrete economic policy design
Courtesy: Sova News
Provisional data on India’s GDP for the fourth quarter of 2016-17, released at the end of last month, suggests that the economy is not shining, a condition that has been in the making much prior to the government’s demonetisation exercise: it’s private capital formation that is absent. This must rouse the policy makers to action.
Courtesy: Image Duyina
A robust currency is welcome, but only if a country’s economic fundamentals bear it out. The numbers offer specious comfort as a strong currency makes imports more attractive. The truth is that India’s economic growth is middling and private capital formation is not visible
Courtesy: India.com
Central banks play a critical role in forging the country’s international economic relations. Now, with the rule-based order being reset and new regimes getting established, they are better positioned to influence the playing field. It is, therefore, critical to strengthen the Reserve Bank of India so it can drive an agenda closer to the interests of emerging countries. This will also be a test of India’s future leadership capabilities
Courtesy: Gateway House
In this interview Anastasia Likhacheva discusses the impact and a few of the positive externalities of the oil price drop, sanctions and counter sanctions on the Russian economy. Despite Trump’s obvious warmth towards Russia, she doesn’t foresee any major agreements signed between the two countries due to the roadblocks that can be placed by the U.S. Congress and the U.S. Senate. She further describes the role she sees Russia undertaking in Asian financial institutions like the NDB and the AIIB in the future.
Courtesy: Wikimedia Commons
The first ever summit of the Indian Ocean Rim Association, to be held in Indonesia in March 2017, will cast light on how India and other like-minded nations can develop oceanic resources sustainably. This event offers scope for India to mould outcomes
Courtesy: Armstrong Economics
The global monetary and financial system is lopsided and designed to favour rich countries; an alternative economic and political doctrine, which takes into account the needs of emerging economies like India, must now be articulated to end this one-sided architecture
Courtesy: Wikipedia
The Indian oil industry is changing. The recent bidding for Discovered Small Fields saw the emergence of small, independent oil explorers in a country that has been dominated by state-owned companies and only a few private sector firms
Courtesy: Gateway House
Prime Minister Narendra Modi's announcement on November 8 to demonetise notes of the denomination of Rs 500 and Rs 1000 has a precedent. This infographic traces some interesting demonetisation initiatives around the world. From discontinuation of high denomination notes due to lack of circulation, to the use of beer and water as 'real assets' in place of hyper-inflated currency.