Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s fourth visit to the United States next month will primarily be aimed at consolidating the gains made under President Barack Obama while stanching the negativity in the US Congress. Engagement with both branches of the US government is important for a successful relationship as any leader dealing with Washington knows because the mile-long distance between the White House and Capitol Hill can often have speed breakers. read more
The Narendra Modi government’s trade policy has been marked by five noteworthy, but rather unflattering, trends: declining trade volumes, unsuccessful diversification of trade destinations, continuing deadlock in U.S.-India commercial ties, India’s services strength remaining under-utilised in trade agreements, and, lack of a national strategy for mega trade agreements. This then shapes the government’s trade agenda for the next three years. The first element, the dismal state of India’s trade, impacts Indian industry. In the two years of the current government, exports have contracted by almost 17%. read more
A recently released World Bank report on the linkage between water scarcity and the Gross National Domestic Product (GDP) of a nation offers a stark incentive for looking at geopolitics through the lens of bioregions. According to the World Bank study, if business continues as usual, India and its neighbours could see a %6% decline in GDP by 2050 due to water scarcity.1 If that is not alarming enough, consider the projected impact of climate change on South Asia. read more
Exactly two years ago, when Narendra Modi won a landslide victory in India’s general elections---the biggest democratic exercise on the globe---analysts sought to explain Modi’s rise to power despite his hardliner image. They called it a localised phenomenon. Some experts even referred to the outcome as a “mistake”: that India’s voters had erred in electing a “nationalist” leader at a time when the world’s fastest-growing economy needed a leader with more globally acceptable credentials. . By this yardstick, however, voters across the world seem to be committing the same mistake in the last two years. read more
This report of Gateway House's Policy Trip to Myanmar recommends how India can participate in Myanmar’s emerging market and enhance India’s trade and strategic interests in Asia
Beijing and Moscow are close, but not allies. Scholars and journalists in the West find themselves debating the nature of the Chinese-Russian partnership and wondering whether it will evolve into an alliance.
“Changing Countours” outlines the changing contours of a newly democratic Myanmar and prescribes the path for India to follow to foster closer links with its next-door neighbour.