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29 January 2015, Quartz

The biggest investment deal between India and the US is nowhere close to completion

Rajrishi Singhal, Senior Geoeconomics Fellow, Gateway House, has written an article on US president Barack Obama’s second visit to India, which has resurrected hopes that the two countries will revive talks on the dormant but in-progress Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT). This article has been republished by Quartz

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US president Barack Obama’s second visit to India has resurrected hopes that the two countries will revive talks on the dormant but in-progress Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT).

A BIT is being eagerly sought by both sides—from the US, to provide comfort to American companies that they will not be treated unfairly, and from India in the belief that it will help increase foreign investment inflows into India.

But negotiating the many tripwires of the BIT will take time and effort.

It may therefore be wise to rein in the optimism that is usually generated by high-profile state visits and the associated optics. More so because every significant India-US bilateral visit in recent times—by prime minister Narendra Modi to Washington DC in September 2014, by US secretary of state John Kerry to India in June 2014 and January 2015, and by US trade representative Michael Froman in November 2014—has rekindled expectations about the abandoned BIT.

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