Mauricio D. Aceves

Mauricio D. Aceves

Mauricio D. Aceves is an advisor for security and border issues at STRATOP Risk Consulting, a Mexican Council on Foreign Relations member, and an analyst on contemporary Middle East and Central Asia issues.

Recent projects

Website articles  (3) Courtesy: AFP
13 November 2025

Pax Fragilis in Gaza: rupture and repair

The arc of revolutions has two acts: rupture - upending the status quo - and the craft of repair. Often, the second is as hard as the first. Today's Pax Fragilis in Gaza is narrow, given the continuing humanitarian crisis, regional reactiveness, limited scope of de-escalation channels, multiple actors' motivations for a permanent ceasefire, and the capabilities of Israel and Palestine to build a pathway with certainty.
indo pacific  (7) Courtesy: Daily News Egypt
31 July 2025 Gateway House

Egypt positions its foreign policy

Egypt sits at the intersection of three continents and two seas, and its foreign policy is a geographic, historic and strategic consequence. From Tripoli to Kortum, Addis Ababa to Brussels, New Delhi to Moscow, Beijing to Washington, Cairo employs diplomacy as a key national security tool, positioning itself as a cornerstone of geopolitical stability within an increasingly multipolar world.
ADEM ALTANAFP via Getty Images Courtesy: Adem Altan/AFP via Getty Images
3 July 2025 Gateway House

Iran’s second chance to transition

Iranian foreign policy must move toward strategic autonomy and internal concord. As witnessed after the 1988 ceasefire with Iraq, such moments can mark an inflexion point - one that prioritises national reconstruction, resilience, and welfare; strategic recalibration, strengthening of confidence, and finding a geopolitical identity. Iran has been there before, and can apply those experiences again.
Website articles  (18) Courtesy: Reuters photo
28 May 2025 Gateway House

Strategy meets statecraft: Trump in Riyadh

Presidential visits abroad are high-level instruments of statecraft and, more often than not, signals of geopolitical priorities. The recent visit of U.S. President Donald Trump to the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar, exemplified this, indicating the administration's policy orientation.
APTOPIX Russia Ukraine War Courtesy: AP
13 March 2025 Gateway House

Riyadh and the new halls of mediation

Saudi Arabia has been the new centre for mediation between warring states and their sponsors. It reflects the shifting dynamics in an increasingly multipolar world and the redefinition of power structures. This role has extended to other Gulf states, which have strategically positioned themselves as neutral players, leveraging their strong relations with the great powers, and adopted culturally sensitive to consensus-building.
images (1) Courtesy: Wikipedia
9 January 2025 Gateway House

Latin America’s new frontiers in 2025

The lessons of 2024 are a compass for navigating geopolitical currents in 2025. Global conflicts have doubled over five years and ever-changing realities are challenging traditional foresight. With several elections due regionally this year, political fissures within and new foreign diplomacy without, will make the Latin American path one of hard decisions.
trump mideast Courtesy:
5 December 2024 Gateway House

A new U.S.-Middle East diplomatic landscape

Donald Trump has re-entered Washington with the backing of a solid political base, a redefined Republican Party, and a more seasoned presence on the international stage, including in the Middle East. Since his last imprint on that region in 2016, 2024 presents significant shifts: alliances redefined, regional power dynamics realigned, trade networks transformed, and urgent security challenges restructured. These changes demand strategic recalibration from all stakeholders.
download Courtesy:
20 June 2024 Gateway House

A new Mexico for a new Middle East

On June 3, Claudia Sheinbaum made history by becoming the first woman elected President of Mexico. In terms of foreign policy and carving a geopolitical identity, this marks the beginning of a new stage of Mexican integration into the global agenda. It provides another dimension for international stability, including a revitalized Mexican perspective of the Middle East.
IMG_2549 Courtesy: The Times of Israel
2 May 2024 Gateway House

Diplomacy in Middle East grey zones

Grey zones have blurred the frontiers of conflict and peace worldwide, creating ambiguous wars of complex scenarios and labyrinths that have transformed strategic foresight and the international and national security landscape. In these arenas, multiple options are available, where regional powers' ascertainments converge with the poker game of political, diplomatic, economic, and military interests, as well as the operations of state and non-state actors.