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17 July 2010, Gateway House

India’s demographic tsunami

How India's "demographic dividend" can turn into a disaster in two parts: one rooted in Leftwing extremism and the other in the churn of Northeast India.

Author and Analyst

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The good news: an economy growing at 8%. A population of 600 million under 20 years of age. Rising aspirations. Globally respected companies.

The bad news is the flip side of the good news: population pressure. A mismatch of aspiration and reality. Caste-related and tribal alienation. Corruption. Delivery of state services.  The change and churn in neighbouring countries that directly affect the internal dynamics of contiguous areas in India.

Consequently, says Sudeep Chakravarti, author of Red Sun, an account of the Maoist insurgency, in this paper, the hard-won local and global gains are under threat in the near and medium term unless dealt with by foresight and fortitude by India’s political, administrative, business and civic leadership.

demographics.pdf 1.3 MB

Sudeep Chakravarti is an independent analyst of socio-political and security issues in South Asia. 

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